The Development Agenda for Western Nigeria (DAWN) Commission has released the “2025 Climate Outlook for Southwest Nigeria,” providing projections on anticipated weather patterns and their potential effects on sectors such as agriculture, water resources, and urban planning. This report, based on data from the Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet), aims to assist policymakers, stakeholders, and the public in enhancing climate resilience and preparedness.
Key Takeaways:
- Rainfall Onset: Some areas in Oyo, Ogun, Osun, Ondo, and Lagos States are projected to experience an earlier start to the rainy season in March and April.
- Rainy Season Duration: Lagos is expected to have a longer rainy season, lasting between 250 to 290 days, while Ondo State may see a shorter-than-average duration.
- Temperature Trends: Daytime temperatures across the region are anticipated to range from 31°C to 37°C, with nighttime temperatures between 20°C and 26°C. Ogun State may experience warmer-than-normal nights, whereas Oyo, Ekiti, and Osun States could encounter cooler conditions.
- Little Dry Season (LDS): A pronounced dry spell is forecasted for Lagos and Oyo States, lasting between 27 to 40 days, with moderate effects expected in Ogun, Ekiti, and Osun States.
- Flash Flood Risk: Intense rainfall during May and June may increase the risk of flash floods, particularly in Lagos’s coastal areas.
Implications:
The DAWN Commission advises farmers to adjust planting schedules in line with rainfall predictions and recommends that urban planners enhance flood management systems in vulnerable areas to mitigate potential risks.
Stakeholders and the public are encouraged to review the full report to inform decision-making and bolster climate resilience efforts.